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January 27, 2004
Athletes and Uncertainty
Posted by Nick
Most blogs -- not including this one, natch -- are worthless. Literally. I would not pay money to visit them. But some are valuable enough that, if they decided to charge ducats to visit, I'd fork them over. Marginal Revolution, run by a couple of brilliant economists at George Mason University, is one of those blogs.
Consider this post that asks a question that 99.9% of the planet will have no clue what it means: Are Athletes Bayesians?
The point of the post is that how athletes respond to uncertainty -- Where will this tennis serve go, to my forehand or backhand? Will he throw me a curve or a slider? -- is worth studying and more scientists are doing that. Technology and technique shifts can be revolutionary in sports, but as often they are subtle... and no less important.
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Nick Schulz is the Editor of Tech Central Station and has worked in media circles and the ideas industry as a writer, editor, television producer and policy analyst. His writings have appeared in The Wall Street Journal, The Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, Slate, The National Post of Canada, The Baltimore Sun, Investor's Business Daily, The Washington Times, National Review, Reason, Policy Review, and several other publications. He is also, it should be said, a rabid sports fan whose fandom is inversely proportional to his overall athletic ability.
